Who Decides the Future?
Vallor: I want to end with the question I think is most urgent and most neglected in the transhumanist literature: who decides? The enhanced future you describe — longer lives, greater intelligence, richer experience — is extraordinarily appealing. But it will not arrive neutrally. It will arrive through markets, through states, through corporations whose incentives do not align with human flourishing across its full range. The people who will have access to the most powerful enhancements first will be the people who are already most powerful. The people who will be most shaped by systems they did not choose will be the people who are already most vulnerable. Enhancement may not reduce human inequality. It may crystallise it permanently.
Bostrom: The distributive justice concern is the most serious practical objection to the transhumanist programme, and I want to answer it seriously. You are right that technologies of enhancement will initially be available only to the wealthy. This was true of every transformative technology — indoor plumbing, vaccines, the internet. The question is trajectory. Technologies tend to become cheaper and more widely available over time. The policy question is how to accelerate that trajectory and ensure the gains are distributed fairly — not whether to develop the technologies at all. Halting enhancement research does not help the world's poor. It denies everyone the benefits, while the inequalities of the current order continue unchanged.
Vallor: The trajectory argument is the optimist's favourite — and it is sometimes correct. But it is not always correct, and the cost of being wrong is asymmetric. When we are wrong about the distribution of vaccines, people die who need not have died. When we are wrong about the distribution of radical cognitive enhancement — when we allow a narrow class of people to become qualitatively more capable than the rest — we may create a world in which the concepts of democracy, equality, and solidarity no longer have stable meaning. This is not a recoverable mistake. The question of who decides the future of human nature is not a policy detail. It is the central political question of our century, and it is not receiving the democratic deliberation it deserves.
Bostrom: On this, we have no disagreement. Democratic deliberation on the governance of transformative technology is urgently necessary — and currently absent. I have spent much of my career trying to bring these questions to serious institutional attention precisely because the default — letting the market decide — is not a neutral choice. It is a choice with enormous consequences. Where we differ is on the conclusion drawn. You seem to suggest that the risks of enhancement are so severe and the democratic institutions so inadequate that caution — even near-prohibition — is warranted. I believe the risks of inaction are equally severe: not developing the tools that could eliminate disease, poverty, and cognitive limitation is also a choice, with its own enormous death toll and its own moral weight.
Vallor: Then let us end here — in agreement about the urgency and in disagreement about the balance. You weight the costs of not enhancing. I weight the costs of enhancing wrongly. Perhaps both weights are necessary — and the society that thinks clearly about this question is one that holds both simultaneously, without resolving the tension too quickly in either direction. I will say this: the very fact that we are having this conversation — that human beings are capable of asking whether our own nature should be transformed, and who should decide — is itself a remarkable feature of human consciousness. Whatever the future of technology brings, I hope it preserves the capacity for exactly this kind of questioning. Because a mind that cannot question its own enhancement is not an improved mind. It is a more capable one. Those are not the same thing.
Bostrom: That distinction — more capable versus improved — is the sharpest thing you have said, and I want to sit with it. The transhumanist programme, at its best, is not just about adding capacity. It is about expanding the range of what minds can be and do — including, perhaps, the capacity for deeper questioning, richer ethical reasoning, greater empathy. Whether current AI development is oriented toward that expansion, or toward something narrower, is a legitimate and urgent question. You have given me reason to be more careful about which version of the transhumanist future I am actually defending. The version worth defending is the one that makes minds not just faster, but wiser. And wisdom — I concede — is not an engineering problem.